With soaring case numbers, death rates should concern us, writes Chris Sexton, while Prof Andrew Dobson is concerned about new Covid variants. Plus Robin Saphra says dropping mask-wearing requirements puts volunteer vaccinators like him and thousands of others at risk
On the BBC’s Today programme this week, Sajid Javid was correct to say that prior to the vaccinations, 25,000 Covid cases a day were giving rise to about 500 deaths (Report, 6 July). But his claim that the ratio is now only one-thirtieth of that was entirely disingenuous.
It is true that the current moving averages of 25,447 daily cases and 18.14 deaths reduces the apparent ratio to about one-thirtieth of what it was. But this fails to recognise that there is a delay between infection and death. And the current 18 deaths result from cases reported 16 days ago, when they were running at 9,109. So the incidence of deaths to infections is not reduced to one-thirtieth of what it was, but only to one-eighth. And the difference between the two, in terms of fatalities, is huge.